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2024-12-14 09:12:24

Although the market plunged today, in fact, at the weekly level, it has not yet fallen below the offensive line, and it has remained intact in the medium and long term, so there is no need to worry too much for the time being. As long as the medium and long-term trend is good, the market still has a foundation for sustained strength, so be patient and wait for the adjustment to be in place.Today is Friday, December 13th, and the market is weakening in an all-round way. The market finally closed down by 2.01% and fell below the integer mark of 3,400 points, with a point of 3,391.88 points. Today is a state of general decline, with the number of falling houses reaching 4,410, and the loss benefit is very obvious. However, the number of daily limit boards is still 100, which shows that the market is not completely without opportunities. Some large consumer sectors are still active, and the number of daily limit boards is 17, which is an increase compared with previous trading days. Today's sharp fall is estimated that many friends have been stunned and a little overwhelmed, so can the market stop falling and rebound next Monday? What should we do? Let's analyze it in detail below.Although the market plunged today, in fact, at the weekly level, it has not yet fallen below the offensive line, and it has remained intact in the medium and long term, so there is no need to worry too much for the time being. As long as the medium and long-term trend is good, the market still has a foundation for sustained strength, so be patient and wait for the adjustment to be in place.


The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China and the General Administration of Financial Supervision issued the Special Action Plan for Digital Empowerment of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (2025-2027), taking the pilot project of digital transformation of small and medium-sized enterprises as the starting point, promoting digital transformation by combining "point, line and surface", accelerating the innovative application and deep empowerment of artificial intelligence, fully activating the value of data elements, focusing on improving the quality and efficiency of supply and the level of service guarantee, and implementing the special action for digital empowerment of small and medium-sized enterprises.The mid-cap stocks of CSI 500 also fell below the offensive line today, initially weakening, and the small-cap stocks with a large market value of CSI 1,000 also fell below the offensive line. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks also weakened completely in the short term, and so did the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50. Therefore, when the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks weakened, the market pressure was relatively large. When the heavyweights stopped falling and stabilized, the market pressure was relatively small.


In terms of quantity and energy, there is a certain volume today. Yesterday's turnover was 1.89 trillion, and today's turnover is 2.09 trillion, an increase of 200 billion. But this volume is something we don't want to see, because it is declining. Today's volume is in a state of decline, so we must be cautious. In addition, the short-term trend has weakened initially, so the amplification of today's volume is a bad sign.There are indications that the short-term trend of the market is not optimistic, or it needs to be cautious. In addition, I have told you before that the first few trading days of the market are above the offensive line and the pressure level, and the previous three consecutive trading days have been a breakthrough in the solid line, but today it has returned to the pressure level, that is, below 3428 points, indicating that the market is now back to the state of interval shock. If it returns to the state of interval shock, Then, once it falls below the short-term trend line again, the possibility of further testing the lower rail is not ruled out. At present, the support of the lower rail is around 3298 points, and the front is supported by a wave of lower rail that is adjusted and stepped back, which has stabilized and then ushered in this wave of rebound. Now that we are back below the pressure level again, we should be prepared for further weakening.There are indications that the short-term trend of the market is not optimistic, or it needs to be cautious. In addition, I have told you before that the first few trading days of the market are above the offensive line and the pressure level, and the previous three consecutive trading days have been a breakthrough in the solid line, but today it has returned to the pressure level, that is, below 3428 points, indicating that the market is now back to the state of interval shock. If it returns to the state of interval shock, Then, once it falls below the short-term trend line again, the possibility of further testing the lower rail is not ruled out. At present, the support of the lower rail is around 3298 points, and the front is supported by a wave of lower rail that is adjusted and stepped back, which has stabilized and then ushered in this wave of rebound. Now that we are back below the pressure level again, we should be prepared for further weakening.

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